Would that AI visibility guarantee pay out on noise alone?
Enter the numbers from the guarantee's terms. AI engines rarely give the same answer twice, so a later count can beat an earlier one by chance alone. This shows how often.
Data source: read directly This tool reads only what you enter, and the counting runs in your browser. Nothing is sent to us or to anyone else.
43% to 48%
The chance this promise is met if nothing about the site changes, at 8 of 80 with 2 recounts averaged.
- 43%
- If day 0 was exactly the true rate.
- 48%
- If day 0 was itself a noisy reading, which it was.
To be hard to explain by chance, the average recount would need to reach about 12 of 80, not just 9.
What this is. A calculation, not a measurement. It asks no AI engine anything and runs in your browser. It assumes each answer is an independent draw at a rate that never changes. Real answers vary more than that, which pushes the odds toward a coin toss. “Hard to explain by chance” means under a 5% chance on noise alone, against day 0 taken as the true rate.
Questions
- Where do I find these numbers?
- In the guarantee's terms or the sample report. Look for how many questions are asked, how many answers count, and which later counts are compared with the start. If the terms do not say, that is worth asking before you buy.
- Why show two percentages?
- The lower one treats the day-0 count as the true rate. The higher one treats day 0 as what it was, one noisy reading of that rate. Neither is a forecast. The range is how much the answer depends on that assumption.
- Does a high number mean the guarantee is dishonest?
- No. It means a pass on its own does not show that the work caused anything. A seller can make that promise in good faith. What you want to know is what a pass would prove, and what you get if it fails.
- What would a stronger promise look like?
- One with a bar noise rarely clears, questions the seller did not choose alone, a stated number of repeats per question, and some questions held back from the work as a comparison.
- Is this measuring my site?
- No. It asks no engine anything and stores nothing. It is a calculation from what you type, and it runs in your browser.
Check something else
- How many of your visits came from AI assistants?Counts the visits your own analytics already recorded from AI assistants, from an export you paste, instead of checking your pages.
- Count the facts and the fluff on any pagePer-sentence counts a fetch can honestly produce: unsourced statistics and superlative claims, quoted. Deliberately no composite grade, because weighting judgment into a score is manufacture.